Bank of Korea Raises Interest Rate by 0.25% to 3% as Expected
The Bank of Korea (BoK) decided to raise its policy interest rate by 0.25% to 3.00% today (Aug. 27), as the market expected, to curb rising inflation. Core inflation hit a nearly three-year high of 2.6% in July, while headline inflation slowed to 2.8%. The central bank noted that the economy remains stronger than expected, expanding 3.7% in the second quarter, supported by semiconductor exports, and raised its 2026 growth forecast to 3.3% from 2.6%, amid uncertainties over oil prices and exchange rates.
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Bank of Korea raises interest rate by 0.25% to 3% to curb inflation
The Bank of Korea (BOK) announced a 0.25 percentage point increase in its policy rate to 3% at its meeting today (Aug. 27), the highest level since January 2025 and the second consecutive hike, following the first increase in three and a half years in July. Six of the seven board members voted for the hike, while one proposed holding at 2.75%. The BOK stated that it is necessary to act preemptively to prevent inflationary pressures from broadening, while also monitoring financial stability risks. Additionally, the BOK raised its economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3% from 2.6%, and projected 2.9% for 2027. The inflation target remains at 2.7% for 2026 and 2.3% for 2027.
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Bank of Korea signals further rate hikes to tackle persistent inflation
A deputy governor of the Bank of Korea said there is a very high chance of additional interest rate hikes to address lingering inflationary pressures, stressing that policy must be preemptive and proactive. While no timing or magnitude of the hike was specified, the signal was clear after last month's meeting, which delivered the first rate increase in three and a half years. The central bank is more concerned about demand-driven inflation than supply-side impacts from Middle East conflicts. The latest data showed the July consumer price index rose 2.8 percent year-on-year, slowing from 3.2 percent in June, while core inflation rose 2.6 percent, the largest increase since December 2023.
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ING economists say stable Fed and AI demand support South Korean won
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song highlight a sharp 8% drop in USD/KRW earlier in the second quarter, driven by temporary flows such as Hynix ADR repatriation and National Pension Service hedging adjustments, alongside a hawkish Bank of Korea hike. They note that a stable Federal Reserve and sustained AI-related demand are now providing support for the South Korean won against the US dollar.
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South Korea July CPI rises 2.8% year-on-year, slowest pace in three months
South Korea's consumer price index rose 2.8% year-on-year in July, data from the national statistics office showed, slowing from June's 3.2% and marking the lowest level in three months. The deceleration was driven by falling crude oil prices, and the reading came in below the median market forecast of 3.0%. However, Vice Minister Lee Hyung-il of the Ministry of Economy and Finance cautioned that inflationary pressures persist, including uncertainties in the Middle East. On a month-on-month basis, the index fell 0.2%, weighed down by a 5.5% drop in petroleum product prices. Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.6% year-on-year, the highest since December 2023. The Bank of Korea raised its policy rate last month for the first time in three and a half years and has signaled further hikes.
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